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Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 15?
84%
chance
Yes
No
$1k Vol.
Best AI model on October 19?
gemini-4-argon-high
92%
Yes
92%
No
8%
Other
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
claude-fable-5.1-max
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
claude-opus-5.5-high
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$2k Vol.
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?
43%
chance
Yes
No
$17k Vol.
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
Flávio Bolsonaro
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
Lula da Silva
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Ronaldo Caiado
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Renan Santos
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Romeu Zema
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Augusto Cury
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$74k Vol.
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